Study type

Study topic

Disease /health condition

Study type

Non-interventional study

Scope of the study

Disease epidemiology

Data collection methods

Combined primary and secondary data collection
Non-interventional study

Non-interventional study design

Cohort
Study drug and medical condition

Medical condition to be studied

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Population studied

Short description of the study population

All patients with a physician diagnosis of COPD rather than a strict, spirometrically-defined COPD population.
Patients with following criteria were included:
• Have ≥1 recorded blood eosinophil count
• ≥2 years of continuous medical records
o ≥1 baseline year immediately prior to the first recorded blood eosinophil count
o ≥1 outcome years immediately following the first recorded blood eosinophil count
• Aged ≥40 years2
• Have physician-diagnosed COPD i.e. Read coded diagnosis.

Age groups

Adults (18 to < 46 years)
Adults (46 to < 65 years)
Adults (65 to < 75 years)
Adults (75 to < 85 years)
Adults (85 years and over)

Special population of interest

Other

Special population of interest, other

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients

Estimated number of subjects

35000
Study design details

Main study objective

To establish the relationship between blood eosinophil count and future COPD exacerbations.

Outcomes

COPD exacerbations:1. Unscheduled hospital admission or A&E attendance for either COPD or lower respiratory events,2. An acute course of oral steroids prescribed with evidence of respiratory review, OR3. Antibiotics prescribed with evidence of respiratory review.

Data analysis plan

Phase 1: will assess whether a rasied eosinophil count can predict future COPD exacerbations. The expected number of exacerbations will be modelled with a Poisson regression model. Significant predictors of rasised eosinophil count will be included in the model, as well as other potential baseline confounders.Phase 2: will evaluate the presence and nature of change between successive blood eosinophil counts. A multinomial logistic regression will be used to compare the probability of decreasing/increasing the eosinophil count as function of therapy and exacerbationLogistic regression modeling will be used to evaluate the effect of different characteristics on probability of having a raised COPD eosinophil count.
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